Recent Polls

Electorates

Electorate 2023 Margin (votes) 2023 Margin (%) Party Incumbent MP Type
Mt Albert 20 0.1 Labour Helen White General
Nelson 29 0.1 Labour Rachel Boyack General
Te Atatū 131 0.4 Labour Phil Twyford General
Banks Peninsula 396 0.8 National Vanessa Weenink General
New Lynn 1,013 2.5 National Paulo Garcia General
West Coast-Tasman 1,017 2.4 National Maureen Pugh General
Wigram 1,187 3.2 Labour Megan Woods General
Ōhāriu 1,260 3.0 Labour Greg O'Connor General
Hutt South 1,332 3.1 National Chris Bishop General
Taieri 1,443 3.4 Labour Ingrid Leary General
Mt Roskill 1,565 4.3 National Carlos Cheung General
Christchurch Central 1,981 5.1 Labour Duncan Webb General
Christchurch East 2,397 6.2 Labour Reuben Davidson General
Rongotai 2,717 6.4 Green Julie Anne Genter General
Wairarapa 2,816 6.3 National Mike Butterick General
Palmerston North 3,087 8.7 Labour Tangi Utikere General
East Coast 3,117 7.9 National Dana Kirkpatrick General
Auckland Central 3,896 11.2 Green Chlöe Swarbrick General
Tāmaki 4,158 10.1 ACT Brooke van Velden General
Kelston 4,396 13.3 Labour Carmel Sepuloni General
Maungakiekie 4,617 13.0 National Greg Fleming General
Hamilton East 5,060 13.5 National Ryan Hamilton General
Whanganui 5,417 13.8 National Carl Bates General
Wellington Central 6,066 13.3 Green Tamatha Paul General
Northland 6,087 13.3 National Grant McCallum General
Ōtaki 6,271 14.2 National Tim Costley General
Hamilton West 6,488 17.0 National Tama Potaka General
New Plymouth 6,991 16.3 National David MacLeod General
Manurewa 7,113 24.5 Labour Arena Williams General
Mana 7,372 17.7 Labour Barbara Edmonds General
Ilam 7,830 18.4 National Hamish Campbell General
Panmure-Ōtāhuhu 7,970 26.8 Labour Jenny Salesa General
Dunedin 7,980 18.9 Labour Rachel Brooking General
Epsom 8,142 20.3 ACT David Seymour General
Takanini 8,775 22.4 National Rima Nakhle General
Remutaka 8,859 21.2 Labour Chris Hipkins General
Napier 8,870 22.0 National Katie Nimon General
Rotorua 8,923 24.4 National Todd McClay General
Northcote 9,270 24.2 National Dan Bidois General
Tauranga 9,370 22.6 National Sam Uffindell General
Rangitīkei 9,785 23.9 National Suze Redmayne General
Invercargill 9,874 26.4 National Penny Simmonds General
Tukituki 10,118 24.6 National Catherine Wedd General
Rangitata 10,846 26.8 National James Meager General
Upper Harbour 11,192 27.5 National Cameron Brewer General
Kaikōura 11,412 27.2 National Stuart Smith General
Whangārei 11,424 26.5 National Shane Reti General
Māngere 11,700 40.3 Labour Lemauga Lydia Sosene General
Waitaki 12,151 27.5 National Miles Anderon General
Waimakariri 13,010 28.0 National Matt Doocey General
Papakura 13,459 32.3 National Judith Collins General
Taranaki-King Country 14,355 35.4 National Barbara Kuriger General
Bay of Plenty 15,405 34.1 National Tom Rutherford General
North Shore 16,330 39.9 National Simon Watts General
Botany 16,337 43.9 National Christopher Luxon General
Taupō 16,505 37.9 National Louise Upston General
Coromandel 17,014 36.4 National Scott Simpson General
Southland 17,211 43.6 National Joseph Mooney General
Waikato 18,046 42.4 National Tim van de Molen General
Pakuranga 18,710 51.2 National Simeon Brown General
Port Waikato 19,443 47.8 National Andrew Bayly General
Kaipara ki Mahurangi 19,459 39.6 National Chris Penk General
Selwyn 19,782 41.1 National Nicola Grigg General
East Coast Bays 20,353 52.6 National Erica Stanford General
Whangaparāoa 23,376 50.0 National Mark Mitchell General
Tāmaki Makaurau 4 0.0 Maori Party Takutai Moana Kemp Maori
Te Tai Tokerau 517 1.9 Maori Party Mariameno Kapa-Kingi Maori
Te Tai Tonga 2,824 10.3 Maori Party Tākuta Ferris Maori
Ikaroa-Rāwhiti 2,843 10.9 Labour Cushla Tangaere-Manuel Maori
Hauraki-Waikato 2,911 11.6 Maori Party Hana-Rāwhiti Maipi-Clarke Maori
Te Tai Hauāuru 9,222 35.2 Maori Party Debbie Ngarewa-Packer Maori
Waiariki 15,891 54.9 Maori Party Rawiri Waititi Maori