I’ve been lucky enough to be overseas on holiday for a few weeks and I’m just catching up with the first round of polling for 2024. Those are now in the system and you can see them in the areas of my site that show and use polling data.
The average swing towards Labour in the three most recent polls so far is 1.38% – certainly not enough to sweep into Government, but it would be enough for Labour’s Peeni Henare to win back Tāmaki Makaurau and for Labour to pick up an extra list MP (Vanushi Walters is next on the list).
You might also have noticed that my Labour list rankings look a little different – you can take a read of this to see what I’ve done and why.